The African economy has been kept at a low growth
rate in recent years. The growth rate of GDP from 1997 to
1999 was 2.9%, 3.3% and 3.2% respectively. All of these
figures are larger than the population growth. IMF estimated
that the growth rate of African GDP could reach 4% in 2000,
of which North Africa would be 5%-7%.
The
macroeconomic situation in Africa is taking a favorable
turn. In order to speed up economic transforming and
structure adjustment, many countries have adopted a set of
active measures to push forward the pace of privatization,
open up international trade and reform based on bilateral
and multi-lateral trade agreements. Most of the countries
have improved macroeconomic situation greatly. The public
financial income has increased and the inflation rate
continues decreasing. It is estimated that the inflation
rate is 6% this year. The African countries also strengthen
the relationship with EU and USA. The signing of
“Cotonou Agreement ”and the approval of “
the African and Caribbean Trade Bill” by the US
Congress both provide more favorable terms for Africa to
enter the markets in developed countries and will benefit
the African economic development.
The African
economic integration is gaining good momentum. West African
Economic and Monetary Union began implementing unified
tariffs in January 2000. West African Countries Economic
Union decided to issue unified visas and agreed to achieve
tariff union in January 2001. The free trade agreement of
South African Development Union has come into effect as from
September 1, 2000. The union will gradually cancel the trade
tariffs of 85% of commodities, and the tariffs of the rest
15% sensitive commodities will be totally canceled before
the year 2012 so as to reach the goal of free flow of
commodities, capital, technology and labor force. The
Southeast African Union intends to cancel internal tariffs
before October 31 this year and achieve free
trade.
However, the overall economic situation
in Africa is critical. The regional development is in the
state of imbalance. The GDP of Africa in 1999 was $ 551.6
billion, of which the 7 countries of North Africa made up
for 40.4%. And the 11 countries of South Africa accounted
for 29.4%, the rest 35 countries only accounted for 30.2%.
The total amount of GDP of South Africa, Algeria, Egypt and
Nigeria is more than half of the total amount of the whole
Africa. The per-capita income of Africa in 1999 was $690, as
against $1379 in South Africa and $1273 in North Africa. The
per-capita income in the rest African region was only
$514.
Debts, impoverishment, wars and illness
are still the biggest impediment for the economic
development in Africa. The negative influence brought about
by irrational international economic order and the trend of
globalization makes the fragile African economic condition
even more difficult. The gap between Africa and the world
economy has been widened. At present the overall economic
volume of Africa is less than 2% of the whole world. The
trade volume only accounts for 2%of that of the whole world
trade. There are 33 African countries among the 48 most
undeveloped countries according to the statistics by the UN.
The population of absolute impoverished accounts for 45% of
the total population, and the number keeps increasing. By
the end of last year the debts of Africa had reached $359
billion. Many countries have to issue 1/4 of their financial
income to pay debts. It is estimated that only if the growth
rate of Africa reaches 5% the increase of the number of
impoverished population can be prevented. When the growth
rate amounts to 7%, the impoverished population can decrease
sharply. It is obvious that Africa needs further efforts to
keep up with the pace of world economic integration.